$NBIS
2 位大V提及 · 30 条相关推文
Serenity
中性
推文将NBIS作为Neocloud代表提及,并借亚马逊AWS产能售罄作行业read-through,但未明确表达看多或看空。
美股仙人
看多
马斯克言论导致短期情绪恐慌,但若跌出黄金坑是捡便宜机会,长期看好。
相关推文时间线
美股仙人
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2026-10-26 05:59
马斯克言论导致短期情绪恐慌,但若跌出黄金坑是捡便宜机会,长期看好。
马斯克攻击新云,对新云是较大利空。但他所言并非新观点:美国算力中心一直缺地、缺电、缺水,审批卡壳、社区反对。这些众所周知,只是他又说一遍。
马斯克这么说必有目的。这些算力中心本质是SpaceX的竞争对手。他巴不得新云全倒闭,然后趁机收购合并。
至于NBIS和CRWV,短期情绪会恐慌一阵,但不会超过一周。若因马斯克言论跌出黄金坑,反而是捡便宜机会。毕竟两家背靠黄老板,马斯克与他交情深,再坏也不至于坑黄老板。
不用太恐慌,马克思本身说的就不是 AI 泡沫,他说的只是优胜劣汰的市场竞争而已。说到底,马斯克自己也是 aI 的积极参与者,SpaceX 自己就是新云,他不会自己砸自己的。
Buy
Serenity
中性
2026-10-24 17:46
推文将NBIS作为Neocloud代表提及,并借亚马逊AWS产能售罄作行业read-through,但未明确表达看多或看空。
So back on your Neoclouds like $NBIS + memory read through... From $AMZN CEO + A16z interview.
Q: On memory shortages (eg. $MU / SK Hynix / Samsung):
A: "There's only so much memory, and I don't think that that shortage ends in 2027."
Q:
Serenity
中性
2026-10-22 12:05
仅作为2025年热门股及对冲基金做空案例提及,未表达直接观点。
I don't own $ASTS and not advice, but if you're capitulating just because a stock price went down..
There's little investment thesis or conviction in the first place.
People always have multi-year ideas like $RKLB becoming the next $SPCX or AST becoming the next Starlink competitor.
Kinda remini
Serenity
看多
2026-10-19 10:34
作者认为微软退出NScale交易对NBIS等Neocloud公司构成利好。
Feels like the public interpretation is all wrong…
I’m pretty sure $MSFT backing out on NScale deal is bullish for Neoclouds like $NBIS or even $IREN with energized capacity with Microsoft?
Pretend Microsoft just ate a bunch of Chipotle burittos:
- They order toilet paper delivery scheduled Q1 2
美股仙人
看空
2026-10-12 12:57
作者把 Nebius 作为反例,认为其表现远不如美光,持有者会更痛苦。
我理解不了有啥扛不住的,这才跌多少😅就扛不住了,你买啥只涨不跌啊😲美光算跌的少的了,也就 1100 跌到 1000,跌 100 块怎么感觉比跌到 700 还痛苦??你看看 intc,看看 nbis,看看 arm,这些不得要跳楼了😅?还有glw,crwv,orcl,cbrs这些,离新高还有十万八千里,我美光哪怕你们嘴里的天天跌,离新高不也就在眼前吗😅我不知道你们的痛苦来自哪里?我真不理解,失去感也太重了吧,都是数字波动罢了。
我为什么体感就还好,我仓位也不小啊,我一天上下波动的钱应该赢过你们 99%的人😅但是我真的十分自信,完全不担心存储会崩,确定性如此之强的股票,历史罕见,出现下跌,我只恨没
Serenity
中性
2026-09-24 15:58
作者仅将 Nebius 与英伟达的 20 亿美元私募配售作为融资扩产例子,未评价其股价。
$AAOI has finished a $500m ATM In April.. $600m ATM in June. Then filed another $600m in August.
It's out of my control if management wants to abuse this trash repeated ATM structure. Instead following $AXTI like LTA prepayments and using that to fund buildout.
Or taking private placements like $
Serenity
看多
2026-09-24 15:06
作者已把Neocloud仓位整合到Nebius,并强调其相对强势和逆板块上涨。
Wow $NBIS relative outperformance is wild.
Back in 2025 I wrote my Neocloud thesis on $IREN to $CRWV. But I made the decision months later to consolidate it all into Nebius...
Despite the the hate from FinX back then.
Very interesting to see Nebius up 6% even during sector drop…
After Oracle wa
Serenity
中性
2026-09-22 04:05
作者好奇Nebius是否参与运行Muse,未直接评价股价。
All right $META Muse is cooking.
I can hear all the $AMD, $INTC, and $ARM CPUs vrrrring in the background.
Along with the memory + components (NICs, SSDs, DRAM) needed for all the browsers/VMs
When I ask it to do a bunch of long form tasks…
Intel CEO also said recently that CPU demand is so st
Serenity
中性
2026-08-23 11:29
作者回顾此前对NBIS的判断已经兑现,属于复盘性质,未给出新的多空观点。
Having a mid-X identity crisis rn:
✓ saw 2025 ideas from $AXTI to $NBIS play out with everyone
✓ we got $AMD bandanas
✓ #1 most subscribed person on X by accident
✓ Chinese “White Hair” nicknames
✓ 1M followers
Still here to track ideas, but what’s the next side quest?
美股仙人
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2026-08-17 08:45
作者推荐买入并长期持有该股票。
推荐购买:
1.存储三美(mu、sndk、skhy)
2.芯片(intc、nvda、cbrs)
3.新云(nbis、crwv)
4.光(lite、cohr、mrvl)
5.先进封装(amkr、glw)
6.电力(gev、be)
建议上面选择两只重仓,搭配下面任意一只,比例7:3或者6:4分配
7.大科技(goog、amzn、msft、meta)
Buy the dip,长期持有,永远缺存储,Discord在个人资料。
美股仙人
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2026-08-14 17:12
作者祝贺NBIS股东,认为其涨势凶猛、即将新高,看好其继续上涨。
恭喜 nbis 的股东,nbis 真的涨得太猛了,马上都要新高了!虽然不知道他这么涨的原因是什么,但是只要是硬件涨我就开心,甲方爸爸涨的越好,说明内存需求越大😛快涨吧,涨得越多越好。
Buy the dip,长期持有,永远缺存储,Discord在个人资料。 https://t.co/xWds6ijBR3
美股仙人
中性
2026-08-12 18:10
仅提及NBIS一天涨27%令人羡慕,作为对比背景,无明确观点。
每天喊长期持有,每天写存储鸡汤,每天说热巴(mu)爱你😘
但是看到 nbis 一天涨 27%还是真羡慕啊,什么时候热巴(mu)也能一天涨 28%啊🫠果然还是别人的老婆前凸后翘比较好看👀
Buy the dip,长期持有,永远缺存储,Discord在个人资料。
美股仙人
看多
2026-08-12 13:16
Nebius Q2资本开支猛涨并上调电力支出,火力全开抢电,作者称其点燃了整个硬件供应链行情。
新云们财报猛涨,有个细节需要注意,两家 q2 资本开支都是猛涨,crwv 还是还继续上调资本开支预期,nbis 则上调电力支出,两家现在都是火力全开,拼命抢电。be 都已经涨冒烟了。gev 也在慢慢上涨。
两家都开始批量部署 rubin,也就是大量部署 hbm4,存储的需求至少从两个新云上看完全没有见顶迹象,ssd,dram nand 都是有多少买多少,整个服务器全供应链都紧缺。
目前看着硬件一片欣欣向荣,所有的激情都被两朵云点燃🔥,快给两个云磕个头,感谢云哥的馈赠🙏🙏🙏
Buy the dip,长期持有,永远缺存储,Discord在个人资料。
Serenity
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2026-08-12 12:23
作者称Nebius展望惊人:营收5.823亿美元同比+454%,调整后EBITDA利润率约50%,手握80.4亿美元现金,并强调其2027年产能可全部售出的需求可见度,整体乐观。
$NBIS outlook is pretty insane yet again.
$582.3M revenue (+454% Y/Y, +46% Q/Q) off ~50% adjusted EBITDA margin (AI Cloud). $8.04B cash on hand.
Reiterates financial guide (2026 revenue: $3.0–$3.4B
2026 EoY ARR: $7–$9B), I was hoping for a raise, but it's already massive growth.
Not really abou
Serenity
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2026-08-11 21:09
CoreWeave积压订单显示Neocloud算力需求巨大,对Nebius形成正面传导。
Insane earnings today for the AI theme with $CRWV, $SMCI, and $LITE.
Coreweave: Absurd ~$104B+ backlog, which doesn't include $25B+ of new customer agreements added in early Q3.
Compute demand read through for Neoclouds is enormous (For Nebius, Iren and others)
Supermicro: Absurd $65-72B in re
Serenity
中性
2026-08-10 02:03
作者仅提示NBIS周中发布财报,未表达明确看多或看空。
Just some near term events:
- OCP APAC tomorrow (Ayar, Lightmatter, $AMD, $NVDA) and your CPO players are giving announcements/updates.
This should be a catalyst for certain optical players.
- Earnings week: with $ASTS, $RKLB reporting today (space), $LITE on Tuesday (photonics), $NBIS in the mid
Serenity
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2026-08-08 18:27
作者以"做空NBIS前该怎么做尽职调查"为反讽,列出超大规模云厂商AI需求创纪录、Nebius自身ARR高速增长至70-90亿美元且利润率改善,暗示做空理由站不住脚。
Today I'm writing a weekend guide on how to do DD when shorting $NBIS:
First, you look at hyperscaler earnings for AI cloud read through:
> $GOOGL: reports record AI cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from earnings
> $AMZN: reports record AI Cloud demand + backlog + margin increases from
美股仙人
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2026-08-03 17:48
作者认为Nebius作为新云/算力中心概念股将起飞,看多。
算力中心概念股全部起飞,甲骨文,nbis,亚马逊,谷歌,crwv,不管老云新云,全都起飞上天。消息面上就是美国要建更多的算力中心,规模可能超过所有的预期。
需要更多的芯片,更多的光,更多的电,更多的存储!!!!
需求不会停止,投资不会减弱!!!一切都在继续!
Buy the dip,长期持有,Discord在个人资料。
Serenity
中性
2026-07-30 18:31
作者仅列出NBIS大涨26.25%作为市场在Citadel清仓后反弹的例证,未直接看多或看空。
Did Citadel really just liquidate Situational Awareness…
Then brought up entire markets the next day?
$NBIS +26.25%
$IREN +25.96%
$SHAZ +22.82%
$SNDK + 23.98%
$BE +23.67%
$SKHY +16.98%
$INTC +12.16%
Amid many others. This has gotta be one of the wildest liquidations I’ve seen.
Serenity
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2026-07-24 20:22
作者认为NBIS的Avride等中立玩家或垂直整合才是Uber最优的前进路径。
There you have it, $GOOGL Waymo to explore split with $UBER per FT.
My view last year was that Uber partnering with Waymo was a bad choice… since Uber would just serve as a distribution funnel that Google needed as they scale up.
And that $NBIS Avride, other neutral players, or vertical integratio
Serenity
中性
2026-07-21 17:41
仅记录该股单日大涨,未表达明确后续多空观点。
Wow, a historic single day recovery.
$SIVEF +30.89%
$IQEF +28.6%
$AEHR +26.53%
$CIFR +17.82%
$NBIS +17.3%
$AAOI +15.6%
$LPK +14.48%
$AXTI +14.12%
$MU +12.54%
$SNDK +12.8%
$SOI +11.1%
$TSEM +10.39%
$LITE +9.25%
$INTC +8.22%
$AMD +8.11%
$MRVL +7.27%
Serenity
中性
2026-07-21 08:13
仅列举盘前涨超4%,属Neocloud板块行情信息。
Memory names from Kioxia finished up a whopping +17.18%. Samsung up +6.15%.
Optical networking from $SIVE, $LITE, and $AAOI are showing signs of recovery, all up 4%+.
Neoclouds from $NBIS to $IREN all up 4%+ premarket.
$INTC to $AMD to $MRVL all up 4%+.
Does the Cramer effect work on the ent
Serenity
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2026-07-20 21:38
英伟达披露持股9.3%对Nebius情绪是重大利好,作者看好其作为Neocloud龙头的表现。
If you’re curious why $NBIS is up after hours.
$NVDA disclosed it owns 9.3% beneficial ownership of Nebius via SEC filings.
Not exactly too new since it dates back to Nvidia’s existing share position of 1.19M shares + $2B prefunded warrant of ~21M shares.
But great for sentiment having Nvidia be
Serenity
中性
2026-07-20 17:18
仅描述其尚未跟上板块反弹,属行情观察。
$IREN +19.69% after revising ARR target to $4B+ from new AI cloud contracts. Its customer base now includes Microsoft, Nvidia, Perplexity, and Figure.
$HUT +10.45% off a 15Y $9.8B AI DC lease
$CIFR +16.76%
$CLSK +13.7%
$WYFI +9.18%
$NBIS and $CRWV are taking their time in the shower.
But does lo
Serenity
看多
2026-07-17 17:51
作者认为hyperscaler复制neocloud模式验证了Nebius的商业模式,看多。
$META in talks to lease compute to Anthropic in a $10B dollar deal.
Seems like they saw how profitable
$SPCX $45B compute deal was.
But just goes to validate Neocloud business models like $NBIS, $IREN, and co if hyperscalers are copying their homework.
Source: NYT https://t.co/3Mu3UXQtFT
Serenity
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2026-07-14 14:57
作者认为NBIS与Reflection AI的算力协议是长期正面发展,有助于客户多元化,但提示对手方资金执行风险。
$NBIS signs $1B+ compute agreement with Reflection AI, for GB300 access through 2029.
Reflection also signed a multi-billion dollar agreement with $SPCX earlier.
Interesting to say the least, seeing Nebius drop -5% off the news today.
Also... counterparty to get this done kinda reminds me of Op
Serenity
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2026-07-08 20:18
将 NBIS 视为下一个 hyperscaler,长期持有,预计 Q4 ARR 达 70-90 亿美元。
Let’s put it this way:
Retail thinks a 30-60% drop is a “falling knife” where bagholders will never recover.
And they end up panic selling after seeing swiggly line TAs and people comparing valuable chokepoints to memes.
I see it as long term ownership over:
- the next hyperscaler with $NBIS, p
Serenity
中性
2026-07-08 08:51
询问NBIS今晚能否止跌,称已亏损接近腰斩,未给出明确看多或看空观点。
@aleabitoreddit 白毛股神,能不能给我点心理按摩,NBIS是否今晚能止跌?它已经亏了我太多了,接近腰斩了
Serenity
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2026-07-07 14:03
作者认为此次普跌与个股基本面无关,是连锁爆仓式的无差别抛售,只要基本面改善反而是有吸引力的买入机会。
Just putting it out there:
If everything crashes together from $NBIS, $MRVL, $INTC, $SNDK, $AMD, $SIVE, $MU, $LITE, and others...
Which are all down -4% to -10%+ today so far.
Probably doesn't have anything to do with individual fundamentals.
Indiscriminate selloffs from things like cascading
Serenity
中性
2026-07-04 07:18
作者只是畅想未来海上漂浮AI数据中心可能由NBIS或三星运营,属随想,未表达明确多空看法。
TIL floating DC and ocean compute exists?
Apparently it’s free cooling + optimal for places in tight geography…
It’s going to be wild taking a cruise ship, and passing by a bunch of $NBIS or Samsung floating AI DCs one day.
If this ever becomes a thing like orbital compute? https://t.co/Ki2RqNc2x