$SNDK
2 位大V提及 · 30 条相关推文
相关推文时间线
美股仙人
中性
2026-10-25 13:31
作者猜测闪迪可能符合新规被归为价值股并带来被动买入,但自谦是乱说,未明确看多。
所以我是否可以认为闪迪、美光可以被分类成价值股了??其实按照新规看,真的蛮符合要求的。🤪
如果真的是这样?那不是会有一波被动买入?我不知道,我乱说的。这种你们就当乐子看吧😅
uy the dip,长期持有,Discord在个人资料。 https://t.co/HPYhlDkaby
Serenity
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2026-10-16 21:25
作者对SNDK等内存股表达支持,认为内存供应短缺带来前所未有的远期能见度。
Just some words of emotional support for your SK Hynix, $SNDK, $MU fanclub.
$DELL CEO on memory, suggested: "It's a 4 year problem because there's just not enough supply"
Factories take about 4 years to build, meaning new production would emerge 2029 or 2030.
and that semiconductor shortages cou
Serenity
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2026-10-12 23:33
作者提到SNDK毛利率预计到2030年超过80%,对SNDK给出积极看法。
Sure... Random train of thoughts on markets now, optics like $LITE / memory + $IREN / Anthropic.
On Memory:
- Demand visibility on $MU / Samsung / SK Hynix extend into 2030-2031.
Samsung has LTAs covering 70% of their capacity into 2031 (likely with SK Hynix type price floors)... and their ope
美股仙人
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2026-10-07 23:31
作者认为闪迪与其他硬件股同属一条船,大方向一致,回调可买入并长期持有。
虽然我一直说热巴(mu),但是我说的其实是所有硬件股,海力士 三星 闪迪 英特尔 mrvl arm 所有的硬件都是一样的,大家都是一条船上的蚂蚱,一荣俱荣一损俱损。肯定涨跌有高低,有先后,基本面本来也有差异,有的国家也有区别,但是大方向是一样的。
热巴 99.9 分,其他 98,97,96……这么说懂了吗?不过话也要说回来,有 99.9 分,干麻选 98 分,对吧🤣🤣
Buy the dip,长期持有,Discord在个人资料。
美股仙人
中性
2026-09-30 08:20
作为已发布财报的半导体个股参考,作者未单独表达看多或看空。
国庆期间,发言会变少。但是今天是决战日,所以在还空的时候提前发帖说下最终看法。
1.财报当天的涨跌永远是五五开,谁都不知道的,不如自己扔一个硬币猜正反,可能还比问别人准一点。
2.美光的财报本身是不会差的,因为前面有海力士、三星、闪迪、英特尔、英伟达、台积电给他打过样,所以不可能隔壁的庄稼大丰收,我一个地里的庄稼不丰收。
3.好财报就是好财报,好消息就是好消息。
4.我无法排除会不会出现sell the news,这个东西说实话都是后视镜看的,跌了就是说sell the news,涨了就说超预期。新闻都是根据结果去套的,不用太在意当天的波动。
5.综上所述,如果财报出现下跌,一定要持
Serenity
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2026-09-22 16:00
作者称SNDK或LITE应被称为“超级智能”股票,表达看多。
I guess I need to start calling $SNDK or $LITE Super Intelligence stocks.
Thanks Trump. https://t.co/x7tJcKjfsc
美股仙人
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2026-08-17 08:45
作者推荐买入并长期持有该股票。
推荐购买:
1.存储三美(mu、sndk、skhy)
2.芯片(intc、nvda、cbrs)
3.新云(nbis、crwv)
4.光(lite、cohr、mrvl)
5.先进封装(amkr、glw)
6.电力(gev、be)
建议上面选择两只重仓,搭配下面任意一只,比例7:3或者6:4分配
7.大科技(goog、amzn、msft、meta)
Buy the dip,长期持有,永远缺存储,Discord在个人资料。
Serenity
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2026-08-17 08:16
作者认为NAND短缺将持续数年,看多该股。
Just some more demand imbalance visibility for $SNDK, $SKHY, $MU, Kioxia, and your NAND players.
Phison CEO: "2027 capacity constraints will be even more severe than in 2026."
"Upstream suppliers need up to 4 years from plant construction and equipment investment to actual production.
With deman
Serenity
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2026-08-16 04:50
作者认为闪迪的长期高利润率目标使其不再像周期性股票。
Just some TLDRs of stuff I found interesting:
- $SNDK 80% adjusted gross margins projections through 2030, ~75% operating margins and ~50% adjusted FCF margins from investor day.
LTAs already 2/3rd of 2028 output. Minimum contracted revenue reaches $93B (MC is currently ~$239B)... Hard to be a c
美股仙人
中性
2026-08-15 04:25
提及闪迪本月涨35%,作为对比,无明确看多或看空。
闪迪这个月涨了 35%,美光这个月涨了 18%,大概率美逛之后会缩小这个差距,毕竟美光的投资者会议和财报都没发呢🥰闪迪涨越多,美光的想象力就越大😅
所以亲爱的你们听懂了吗?炒股其实不难,这种都是明牌了🫠
Buy the dip,长期持有,永远缺存储,Discord在个人资料。
Serenity
中性
2026-08-14 11:29
作者仅指出SNDK的内存瓶颈没有变化,属信息陈述,未明确看多或看空。
The $SHKY, Samsung, $SNDK, $MU memory bottleneck never changed anon https://t.co/6Xyih3pM9D
美股仙人
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2026-08-14 10:45
作者感叹错过闪迪,认为存储为王,看多闪迪。
又回到最初的高点
呆呆地站在镜子前
笨拙系上白色口罩的结
将头发梳成鸟巢模样
穿上一身黑色 T恤
等会儿见你一定喊出吨为嗯~
那些年错过的美光
那些年错过的闪迪
好想拥抱你
拥抱错过的勇气
曾经想征服全世界
到最后回首才发现
这世界滴滴点点全部都是存为王~
Buy the dip,长期持有,永远缺存储,Discord在个人资料。
美股仙人
看空
2026-08-06 02:55
作者认为闪迪毛利率达80%+,最疯狂涨幅已过,缺乏毛利扩张空间。
无论哪家公司,英伟达,特斯拉,美光,还是闪迪,市场最关注的数据是GROSS MARGIN,毛利率,股价涨最凶的时候是毛利率扩张的时候,市场线性外推,而当毛利率见顶后,接下去EPS的增速就大多只能来自营收增速,且毛利率如果变化,只有一个方向,向下。而当毛利率向下时,也意味着公司失去了定价权,绝对的护城河,和有其他竞争者进来。长期合同是有好处的,锁定了毛利率下行的空间/风险,也是改变周期股的方法之一,但如果市场真的被大量供给冲击,毛利该跌还是跌,合同被再商讨,就看产品本身会不会有竞品和产能。对于这些标的,多数最疯狂的涨幅已经在身后了,因为没有毛利扩张的空间,不会再和营收增速叠加,可能除了特斯拉,毕
美股仙人
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2026-08-05 16:36
作者称SNDK财报是110分答卷、年级第一,高度认可并看多。
聊下 sndk 财报,不用猜,110 分答卷,年级第一的成绩。至于股价涨跌?看我嘴型:顿为王~~~
Buy the dip,长期持有,永远缺存储,Discord在个人资料。
Serenity
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2026-08-04 02:34
闪迪在内的NAND厂商年度产能已售罄,供需极度紧张,利好NAND价格与公司业绩。
SK Hynix, $MU , and Samsung have sold out of 2027 capacity for DRAM/HBM.
$SNDK, Samsung, Micron current annual NAND capacity has been sold out, with Kioxia and SK Hynix expected to finalize allocations by August 2026.
- Customers are being allocated only 60–70% of the volumes they initially reque
美股仙人
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2026-08-04 00:36
闪迪再度涨价、涨幅领先,作者认为看不到任何存储见顶迹象,继续看多。
闪迪昨天比其他涨得好的原因。又又又又涨价了,说实话,我真的看不到一点存储到头的迹象🤦除了股价跌了,你们倒是拿出一点实质性证据发我下让我看清现实也行啊…别总丢我一句到头了,问原因就是涨多了…这样真的不行…
Buy the dip,长期持有,Discord在个人资料。 https://t.co/lju5jxpmxk
Serenity
中性
2026-07-31 22:52
仅作为他人多年成功论点的举例提及,作者并未表达自身看多或看空观点。
The media framing and X reactions around Leopold are egregious.
Framing his successful multi-year thesis from $SNDK to $BE as a "collapse" or "failure".
After July's surprising crash, then personally attacking him on top is just pathetic to witness.
It's almost like everyone is cheering for the
Serenity
中性
2026-07-30 18:31
作者仅列出SNDK大涨23.98%作为市场反弹例证,未直接表达观点。
Did Citadel really just liquidate Situational Awareness…
Then brought up entire markets the next day?
$NBIS +26.25%
$IREN +25.96%
$SHAZ +22.82%
$SNDK + 23.98%
$BE +23.67%
$SKHY +16.98%
$INTC +12.16%
Amid many others. This has gotta be one of the wildest liquidations I’ve seen.
Serenity
中性
2026-07-30 08:10
仅提及SNDK在7月大幅回撤,作为基金回撤背景,未表达明确个股观点。
There's a lot of stupid commentary around Leopold raising funds. After names like $BE, $SNDK, $SHAZ, and others all had very sharp drawdowns in July.
Just remember... here's a man in finance that's
1. 6'5
2. Blue Eyes
3. Hedge Fund
Probably better looking than you, and was up 439% through June Y
美股仙人
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2026-07-25 16:03
作者将SNDK列为低倍数存储供应商,认为空头对周期倍数的看法忽略了持续时间,倾向看多。
A MESSAGE TO THE AI BEARS
When AI bears look at the low multiples $SKHY, $MU, $SNDK and Samsung then the response is usually some version of “earnings multiples are meaningless for cyclical companies at peak demand and peak margins.”
The reason these suppliers trade at such low multiples is preci
Serenity
中性
2026-07-23 04:49
提及闪迪作为存储LTAs趋势的例子,无直接观点。
$INTC and $AMD to sign CPU LTAs with Chinese customers for AI DCs (Reuters).
- Prices of some CPU products have risen more than 40% in China since the start of the year from sources.
- Month-on-month increases topping 10% for some products
CPUs were already a bottleneck, following CPU ratios du
Serenity
中性
2026-07-21 17:41
仅记录该股单日大涨,未表达明确后续多空观点。
Wow, a historic single day recovery.
$SIVEF +30.89%
$IQEF +28.6%
$AEHR +26.53%
$CIFR +17.82%
$NBIS +17.3%
$AAOI +15.6%
$LPK +14.48%
$AXTI +14.12%
$MU +12.54%
$SNDK +12.8%
$SOI +11.1%
$TSEM +10.39%
$LITE +9.25%
$INTC +8.22%
$AMD +8.11%
$MRVL +7.27%
Serenity
中性
2026-07-09 12:46
仅作为与META签署存储长期协议的背景提及,无直接观点。
Nothing like an internal $META memo getting published.
Showing AI ramping as usual:
- LTAs signed with Samsung and $SNDK for memory
- LTAs signed with Sumitomo Electric for fiber optics
- Expected to deploy 7GW compute infra this year, and doubling in 2027.
- as much as $145B capex spend this yea
Serenity
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2026-07-07 14:03
作者认为此次普跌与个股基本面无关,是连锁爆仓式的无差别抛售,只要基本面改善反而是有吸引力的买入机会。
Just putting it out there:
If everything crashes together from $NBIS, $MRVL, $INTC, $SNDK, $AMD, $SIVE, $MU, $LITE, and others...
Which are all down -4% to -10%+ today so far.
Probably doesn't have anything to do with individual fundamentals.
Indiscriminate selloffs from things like cascading
Serenity
中性
2026-07-06 05:48
作为作者期望涨价持续的对标参照被提及。
Nomura’s report cites $AXTI and $IQE as the leading players.
Then regarding ASP updates:
- 2in InP substrate price hike 42-76%
- 3in InP substrates price hike 78%
- 2in EML Epiwafer price hike 50-75%
- 3in CW Epiwafer price hike ~40%+
- Prices lower domestically in China as expected.
Hyperscaler
Serenity
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2026-07-05 15:36
NAND供应将持续短缺至2027年,SNDK类玩家受益。
Just some consolidated updates on memory:
- $MU leads new 1.5T Yen investment in Hiroshima ~$9.3B. (bullish read through for Disco, Advantest, Resonac, Towa) since capex is localized.
- Morgan Stanley pointed out NAND will continue to be in short supply into 2027 so $SNDK / Kioxia type players a
Serenity
中性
2026-07-02 19:12
仅列出股价大跌幅度,属信息性提及。
Always a fun time seeing semi markets crash from Bloomberg report framing once again…
UBS analyst on $META report: “this is not new news”.
Regardless:
$AEHR down -18.3%
$AAOI down -17.13%
$SIVEF down -15.4%
$SNDK down -14.8%
$TER down -13.8%
$GLW down -11.4%
$MRVL down -11.2%
$LITE down -10.2%
$N
Serenity
中性
2026-06-25 16:55
作者提到$SNDK今日表现强劲但未能挽救其组合,仅陈述表现,未明确看多。
Nah, gonna fill out the job application for $WEN and set up camp behind the dumpsters.
Even $MU and $SNDK ridiculous performance today couldn't save my port.
Cheering on Japan though, hoping Sweden gets mogged with a 2-0 to represent the 20% drop.
Serenity
中性
2026-06-23 15:42
仅列出当日跌幅,属行情汇总。
Curious if anyone's portfolio is green after today's fun day.
$KORU: -32.06%
$SOXL: -22.98%
$IQE: -13.58%
$DRAM: -12.6%
$AXTI: -12.57%
$FLNC: -12.5%
$AAOI: -11.2%
$SIVE: -11.7%
$TSEM: -10.24%
$SNDK: -12.5%
$MU: -11.8%
Sk Hynix: -12.35%
Samsung: -9.6%
$MRVL: -8.3%
$LITE: -7.6%
$SOI -7.15%
$TSM: -6
Serenity
中性
2026-06-21 06:18
作者用$SNDK式涨价类比乳清蛋白涨价,未直接评价$SNDK
Apparently gym bros are the new hyperscalers.
They’ve created a new bottleneck with whey protein?
Now there’s $SNDK style price hikes.
Maybe creatine is next with shortages. https://t.co/YY5waMXzKH